the ways in
how the calls have held up
what has changed
release notes
2026-06-27
release notes
v1.0: Methodology locked. Blurb shipped.
2026-06-27
methodology writeups
L04 forward model fits a per-player round-mean from 5+ years of LPGA round data. L06 Monte Carlo simulates 10,000 4-round tournaments using that player-mean plus a 2.85-stroke per-round residual (RMSE on the L04 test set). Cut is top 65 + ties after round 2.
soon
model retrospectives
what we predicted vs. what happened. honest walk-backs included.